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HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST SUN NOV 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM EST WED NOV 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
24.3N 78.9W 45 2 X X 47 MYNN 251N 775W 24 16 X X 40
26.5N 74.5W X 22 3 X 25 MYGF 266N 787W 9 18 X X 27
29.0N 70.0W X X 13 3 16 BERMUDA X X X 11 11
MUCM 214N 779W 7 3 X X 10 MARATHON FL 31 1 X X 32
MUCF 221N 805W 71 X X X 71 MIAMI FL 20 6 X X 26
MUSN 216N 826W 99 X X X 99 W PALM BEACH FL 6 9 X X 15
MUHA 230N 824W 43 X X X 43 FT PIERCE FL 1 5 X X 6
MBJT 215N 712W X X 2 X 2 COCOA BEACH FL X 2 X X 2
MYMM 224N 730W X 3 3 X 6 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
MYSM 241N 745W X 17 2 X 19 KEY WEST FL 23 1 X X 24
MYEG 235N 758W 4 19 X X 23 MARCO ISLAND FL 5 2 X X 7
MYAK 241N 776W 31 9 X X 40 FT MYERS FL 1 1 X X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
C FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE
D FROM 7AM TUE TO 7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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