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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0202
0900Z MON AUG 05 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COASTS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST AND
SOUTH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER
THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  89.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  89.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  89.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.2N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 30.5N  92.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.8N  93.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  89.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...INLAND AND DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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