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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
0300Z MON SEP 02 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 114.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  927 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 280SE 280SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 114.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 113.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.7N 115.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.4N 117.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.1N 119.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 114.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 21.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/MOLLEDA
 
 
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