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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN SEP 15 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.1N 85.7W 48 X X X 48 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 2 3 6
28.9N 85.6W 30 1 X X 31 FT MYERS FL X 2 2 4 8
30.0N 85.5W 18 2 2 1 23 VENICE FL 2 4 2 3 11
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 1 2 TAMPA FL 4 3 2 3 12
MUAN 219N 850W X X 1 1 2 CEDAR KEY FL 7 4 2 2 15
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2 ST MARKS FL 12 4 2 1 19
MARATHON FL X X 1 2 3 APALACHICOLA FL 19 2 1 1 23
MIAMI FL X X 1 3 4 PANAMA CITY FL 18 2 2 1 23
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 3 4 PENSACOLA FL 8 6 3 1 18
FT PIERCE FL X X 1 4 5 MOBILE AL 2 7 4 2 15
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 1 5 7 GULFPORT MS 1 5 4 3 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 2 2 5 9 BURAS LA X 5 4 1 10
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 2 2 6 11 NEW ORLEANS LA X 2 4 2 8
SAVANNAH GA X 1 2 6 9 NEW IBERIA LA X X 2 1 3
CHARLESTON SC X X 1 6 7 GULF 29N 85W 26 1 X X 27
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 87W 18 3 1 X 22
WILMINGTON NC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W 3 5 2 2 12
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X 1 2 1 4
KEY WEST FL X X 1 3 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
Webmaster
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