HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  54
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU OCT 03 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN OCT  6 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.5N  70.2W      71  X  X  X 71   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  7 10
32.0N  71.0W      29  2  1  X 32   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  4  7 11
33.5N  71.1W       4 14  2  1 21   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  6  7
BERMUDA            X  X  2  5  7   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  3  4   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  5  6   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  6  8   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN