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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 73
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE OCT 08 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST FRI OCT 11 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.6N 74.4W 66 X X X 66 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 4 7 11
28.0N 76.0W 35 5 X X 40 SAVANNAH GA X X 2 7 9
27.7N 77.7W 4 20 1 1 26 CHARLESTON SC X X 2 7 9
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 2 2 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 6 7
MUCM 214N 779W X X 1 3 4 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 4 5
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 6 7 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 4 4
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 5 5 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 6 7 KEY WEST FL X X 3 8 11
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 3 3 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 6 7 13
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 1 2 4 FT MYERS FL X X 5 8 13
MYEG 235N 758W X 1 2 3 6 VENICE FL X X 4 8 12
MYAK 241N 776W X 2 6 3 11 TAMPA FL X X 4 8 12
MYNN 251N 775W X 7 6 2 15 CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 8 10
MYGF 266N 787W X 12 6 2 20 ST MARKS FL X X X 7 7
MARATHON FL X X 5 7 12 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 6 6
MIAMI FL X 1 9 5 15 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL X 4 9 4 17 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
FT PIERCE FL X 4 9 4 17 GULF 29N 85W X X X 6 6
COCOA BEACH FL X 3 8 5 16 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 7 6 14
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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