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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU OCT 17 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.4N  80.6W      36  2  X  X 38   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2  3  5
24.5N  78.0W       1 22  4  X 27   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  4  6
29.1N  74.0W       X  X 14  5 19   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  8  9
MKJS 185N 779W     2  3  X  X  5   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  9 10
MWCG 193N 814W    55  X  X  X 55   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  6  6
MUGM 200N 751W     X  2  X  X  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
MUCM 214N 779W     7 15  1  X 23   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5
MUCF 221N 805W    28  6  X  X 34   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W    25  1  X  X 26   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7
MUHA 230N 824W    11  8  X  X 19   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
MYMM 224N 730W     X  1  2  X  3   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  8  8
MYSM 241N 745W     X  3  9  1 13   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  7  7
MYEG 235N 758W     X 10  8  X 18   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
MYAK 241N 776W     1 21  4  X 26   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X 18  8  X 26   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     X 12 12  X 24   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
BERMUDA            X  X  X  6  6   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
MARATHON FL        3 18  1  X 22   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           1 17  4  X 22   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  4  4
W PALM BEACH FL    X 12  7  X 19   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       X  7  8  X 15   KEY WEST FL        3 14  1  X 18
COCOA BEACH FL     X  3  7  1 11   MARCO ISLAND FL    X 11  2  X 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  5  X  6   FT MYERS FL        X  7  2  X  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  1  3   VENICE FL          X  3  2  X  5
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  2  X  2   TAMPA FL           X  2  1  X  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2  2  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/BLAKE
 
 
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