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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  39A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED SEP 25 2002

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HITTING THE LOUISIANA COAST...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.4 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA...AND ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH 
OF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST.
 
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  A GENERAL NORTHWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD
BRING THE CENTER OF ISIDORE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.  THE C-MAN STATION 
AT SOUTHWEST PASS NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER REPORTED 
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
 
ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM THAT COVERS MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CIRCULATION.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE SPREADING ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ISIDORE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES DURING
THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS.  HEAVY RAINS WILL ALSO SPREAD NORTHWARD 
INTO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD. 
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS.  LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD DECREASE TONIGHT.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ALONG WITH BATTERING 
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE 
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...27.4 N... 90.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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