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HURRICANE KENNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT THU OCT 24 2002
 
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE KENNA BEGINNING TURN 
TOWARD THE WEST  COAST OF MEXICO...

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING ISLAS
MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA
TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KENNA.
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KENNA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES...
370 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.

KENNA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH...
18 KM/HR.  A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD 
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK... 
THE CENTER OF KENNA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE COAST IN THE WARNING 
AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON.  CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST WILL BEGIN TO 
DETERIORATE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE TIME OF LANDFALL.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THIS MAKES KENNA A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE 
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...HOWEVER...KENNA IS EXPECTED TO BE AN EXTREMELY 
DANGEROUS HURRICANE AT LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  915 MB...27.02 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF KENNA.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...108.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...160 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 915 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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