000
FZNT02 KNHC 061615
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED NOV 6 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 08.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RAFAEL OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 21.5N 82.0W 960 MB 
AT 1500 UTC NOV 06 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 
29 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS WITHIN 180 NE AND 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES AND FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO 
NEAR 23.9N 84.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE 
QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RAFAEL NEAR 24.4N 88.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 21N 
TO 30N BETWEEN 84W AND 93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN E TO SE SWELL N OF 24N AND IN NE TO E SWELL S OF 24N.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 24N35W TO 20N55W THEN TROUGH TO 15N61W. 
WITHIN 300 NM N OF FRONT AND TROUGH BETWEEN 57W AND 61W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N 
OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF 
FRONT AND TROUGH TO 30N...E OF THE BAHAMAS TO 61W AND N OF THE 
BAHAMAS W OF 77W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL...EXCEPT IN E TO SE SWELL N OF 25N W OF 70W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N35W TO 21N52W TO LOW 
PRES NEAR 19N63W 1011 MB. FROM 19N TO 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 65W 
E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM 
N OF FRONT AND LOW BETWEEN 60W AND 63W AND FROM 18N TO 26N 
BETWEEN 63W AND 70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
BETWEEN 70W AND THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN E SWELL. W OF BAHAMAS...INCLUDING STRAITS OF FLORIDA...E TO 
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT...EXCEPT TO 10 FT 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 20N70W 1010 MB. WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 67W AND THE BAHAMAS NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. FROM 11N TO 25N E OF 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.