000
FZPN03 KNHC 010354
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU AUG 01 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.6N 108.9W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC 
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.7N 112.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N 
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.0N 116.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 
122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0345 UTC AUG 01...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. NUMEROUS 
MODERATE IN WIDE BANDS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124W FROM 07N TO 18N WITH A 1009 MB LOW 
ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM W OF 
LOW AND FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 07N82W AND 
WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 09N95W TO 12N104W. IT 
RESUMES FROM 14N111W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N124W 1009 MB TO 13N130W 
TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N136W 1011 MB AND TO 10N140W. NUMEROUS 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W 
AND 95W AND FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 86W 
AND 91W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W...FROM 
10N TO 12N BETWEEN 127W AND 129W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 129W AND 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.