000
FZPN03 KNHC 011549
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU AUG 1 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.2N 111.0W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM
NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 18N108W TO 19N109W TO 19N111W TO 18N112W TO 16N112W TO
16N109W TO 18N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.9N 112.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.2N 114.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N112W TO 21N113W 
TO 20N115W TO 18N117W TO 17N116W TO 16N113W TO 19N112W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.4N 119.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 20N117W TO 20N120W TO 18N121W TO 16N120W TO 16N118W TO 
17N116W TO 20N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 18N114W TO 23N118W TO 22N123W TO 18N124W TO 13N121W 
TO 14N116W TO 18N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E 
SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N91W TO 13N93W TO 12N94W TO 10N94W TO
10N92W TO 11N91W TO 12N91W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N93W TO 13N95W TO 12N98W TO 09N97W TO
09N95W TO 10N93W TO 11N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU AUG 1...

.T.S. CARLOTTA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 12N105W...THEN RESUMES NEAR 
13N116W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N TO 09N 
AND E OF 105W...AND FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 116W AND 123W. 

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.