938 
FZPN03 KNHC 241524
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU OCT 24 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 26.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 14.1N 120.3W 933 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 24 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT 
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...105 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 07N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 113W AND 123W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 15.3N 124.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 06N TO 21N BETWEEN 117W 
AND 131W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 18.6N 128.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT FROM 10N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 122W AND 138W. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N96W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 
11.5N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W 
TO 11.5N97W TO 11N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N96W TO 
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 
16N95W TO 14N95W TO 12.5N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N138W TO 27N140W. N OF 29N W OF 138W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 26N140W. 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU OCT 24...

.HURRICANE KRISTY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N95W TO 10N110W. THE 
ITCZ STRETCHES FROM 09N125W TO BEYOND TO 09N140W. ASIDE FOR THE 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE KRISTY, A CLUSTER OF 
MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS SE OF KRISTY FROM 11N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CAN 
BE FOUND FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 112W...AND FROM 07N TO 
10N W OF 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.