283 FZNT25 KNHC 022046 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 446 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Potential Tropical Cyclone Four is near 21.4N 78.3W at 5 PM EDT, and is moving west-northwest at 14 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1012 mb. Four will move to 22.4N 80.1W Sat morning, 24.2N 82.2W Sat afternoon, 26.1N 83.3W Sun morning, 28.1N 83.3W Sun afternoon, inland to 29.7N 82.9W Mon morning, and inland to 30.9N 81.9W Mon afternoon. Four will change little in intensity as it moves to near 32.6N 80.0W Tue afternoon. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move over Cuba tonight, cross the Straits of Florida into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, and then move near or over the west coast of Florida Saturday night through Sunday night. In the meantime, a weak ridge will remain in place over the N Gulf waters into Sat morning allowing for gentle to moderate winds for most of the Gulf of Mexico. Fresh NE winds are expected near and to the northwest of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight due to local effects. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered tstms. .SAT...NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to 30 kt, shifting to SE to S 30 to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SW to W winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming S to SW 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the morning, subsiding to 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...SW to W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Potential Tropical Cyclone Four is near 21.4N 78.3W at 5 PM EDT, and is moving west-northwest at 14 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1012 mb. Four will move to 22.4N 80.1W Sat morning, 24.2N 82.2W Sat afternoon, 26.1N 83.3W Sun morning, 28.1N 83.3W Sun afternoon, inland to 29.7N 82.9W Mon morning, and inland to 30.9N 81.9W Mon afternoon. Four will change little in intensity as it moves to near 32.6N 80.0W Tue afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible across the waters off NE Florida Sun night into Mon. Elsewhere, winds will remain generally moderate or weaker for the next several days except over the waters E of Florida where fresh to strong southerly winds are expected beginning on Sat. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and SE 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...SE winds 25 to 30 kt S of 27N, and SE 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and SE to S 25 to 30 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and S 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and S to SW 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S of 27N, S winds 10 to 15 kt. N of 27N, S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SW 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 4 ft.