000 FZNT25 KNHC 051553 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1153 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Newly formed Tropical Depression Fourteen is over the southwestern Gulf near 22.1N 95.1W, or about 180 nm NNE of Veracruz, Mexico at 11 AM EDT moving north-northeast at 3 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Tropical Depression Fourteen is forecast to strengthen to a tropical storm near 22.5N 94.9W this evening with maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt, and continue to strengthen as it reaches near 22.9N 94.2W Sun morning with maximum sustained 45 kt gusts 55 kt, to near 22.8N 93.0W Sun evening with maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt and intensify into a hurricane near 22.9N 91.6W Mon morning with maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Hurricane Fourteen is forecast to reach near 23.4N 89.8W Mon evening with maximum sustained winds 85 kt gusts 105 kt and to near 24.3N 87.6W Tue morning with maximum sustained winds 95 kt gusts 115 kt. Hurricane Fourteen is forecast to change little in intensity as it moves to the near 27.0N 83.4W early Wed, then begin to weaken as it crosses the Florida peninsula reaching to waters E of northern Florida near 29.9N 78.3W early on Thu. A front is expected to develop across the northern Gulf through the weekend, with increasing winds and building seas N and W of the boundary. Conditions may finally improve across the basin toward the end of the week. .THIS AFTERNOON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered thunderstorms. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Major Hurricane Kirk will remain E the region as it moves through the north central Atlantic through tonight. Very large swells generated by Kirk will mix with swell present over the water ENE of the Bahamas producing rough and hazardous seas over the waters E of 75W into early next week. Looking ahead, winds and seas may increase off Florida and near the Bahamas mid- week associated with a front moving into the region and recently formed Tropical Depression Fourteen over the SW Gulf of Mexico, which is forecast to track eastward near the front. Farther E, large NE swell may impact the waters SE of Bermuda Tue and Wed, while swells associated with tropical cyclone Leslie, forecast to remain E of the area, may impact the waters E of 60W by mid-week. .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and E 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and E 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered thunderstorms. .TUE...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and E to SE 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.