000 FZNT25 KNHC 091538 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1038 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is centered near 25.2N 91.5W at 1500 UTC, or 250 nm NNW of Progreso Mexico, moving WNW at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Steady weakening is expected during the next few days. Rafael will continue moving slowly toward the west-northwest through Sun morning, then move south-southwestward toward the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through early next week. Rafael will move to near 25.4N 91.8W this evening, weaken to a tropical depression near 25.7N 92.1W Sun evening, become a remnant low near 23.6N 92.4W Mon evening, then continue to drift SW and weaken through Wed. Looking ahead, moderate to locally fresh NE winds will build across the basin Wed. .TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas occurring along and to the west of a trough, located from the Windward Passage to 25N70W, will continue today, then strengthen tonight as the trough drifts W, and high pressure behind an approaching cold front builds into the area. The trough will move westward to west-northwestward across the Greater Antilles, Turks and Caicos Islands, the southeastern Bahamas, and eastern Cuba during the next couple of days. A strong cold front will move southward into the northern forecast waters today, reaching 23N Sun morning, then will stall and begin to weaken along 20N Mon. Expect widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas in N swell north behind the front through this weekend before diminishing early next week. N swell will reach the NE Caribbean Mon morning and the Tropical Atlantic waters Mon afternoon and night. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh E trades and moderate to rough seas will occur east of the Windward Islands through the forecast period. .TODAY...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. .TUE...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.