000
FZNT25 KNHC 100323
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1023 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is centered near 25.7N 91.7W
at 10/0300 UTC or 290 nm NNW of Progreso Mexico, moving NW at
3 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Weakening is
expected through early next week, and Rafael is forecast to
degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low on Monday. The storm
is expected to meander over the central Gulf of Mexico through
Sunday night, then turn toward the south and south-southwest on
Monday and Tuesday. Looking ahead, moderate to locally fresh E 
winds will build across the eastern half of the Gulf on Wed as a 
cold front moves through the western Atlantic. A second cold 
front looks to move through the western Gulf of Mexico late next 
week, reinforcing fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas
across most of the Gulf. 

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. 
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. 
.MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. 
.WED...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. 
.THU...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.  

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...Strong NE winds and rough seas occurring along and
to the west of a trough, extending southwestward from a 1011 mb 
low near 25N71W through eastern Cuba, will persist through 
Sunday. There is a low chance of tropical formation along this 
trough within the next 48 hours and next 7 days. A strong cold 
front will continue to progress southward through the central and
western Atlantic this weekend, reaching 23N by Sun morning and 
19N by Mon before stalling through Tue. Expect widespread fresh 
to strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas in N swell 
north of the front through early Mon before diminishing through 
Tue. Another cold front moving off the southeastern U.S. coast 
will lead to another round of fresh to strong NE winds and rough 
seas north of the Greater Antilles and west of 55W by the middle 
of next week.

.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt
N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of
27N. Seas 6 to 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E to SE 20 to
25 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms. 
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and SE 15 to 20 kt N of
27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. 
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SE 10 to
15 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms. 
.TUE...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and N 10 to 15 kt N of
27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and NE 20 to 25 kt N
of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. 
.THU...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 10 to 15 kt N of
27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft.