000 FZNT25 KNHC 100916 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 416 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is centered near 26.1N 91.8W at 10/0900 UTC or 310 nm NNW of Progreso Mexico, moving NNW at 2 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Weakening is expected through early this week, and Rafael is forecast to degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low by Monday. The storm is expected to meander over the central Gulf of Mexico through tonight, then turn toward the south and south-southwest on Monday and Tuesday. Looking ahead, moderate to locally fresh E winds will build across the eastern half of the Gulf on Wed as a cold front moves through the western Atlantic. A second cold front looks to move through the western Gulf of Mexico late this week, reinforcing fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas across most of the Gulf. .TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .THU...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Strong to near gale-force winds and rough seas are occurring to the north and west of a 1011 mb low, centered near 24.5N71W. These winds will continue today. A strong cold front will continue to progress southward through the central and western Atlantic this weekend, reaching 23N this morning and 19N by Mon before stalling through Tue. Expect widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas in N swell north of the front through Mon morning before diminishing Tue. Another cold front moving off the southeastern U.S. coast will lead to another round of fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas north of the Greater Antilles and west of 55W by the middle of this week. .TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E to SE 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and E to SE 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TUE...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and N 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and NE 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .THU...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft.