000 FZNT27 KNHC 152035 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 435 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...A surface trough extends from the Florida Big Bend region to the eastern Bay of Campeche this afternoon. The NE portion will shift NW and dissipate tonight. A broad low to middle level cyclonic circulation, a Central American Gyre, is centered over the south-central Gulf of Mexico and extends into Central America. This feature is expected to become better organized through Mon, as it drifts westward. Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical cyclone to develop from this broad area of low pressure, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf during the middle part of next week, then move west or west-northwestward. Active convection across the southeast Gulf, along with increasing winds and building seas, is expected to shift westward with this system into the middle part of next week, significantly impacting the south-central and northwest Gulf. Northwest Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE swell. .TUE...E winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in SE swell. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SE swell. .WED...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in E to SE swell. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in E to SE swell. .THU...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in E to SE swell. .THU NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE swell. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE swell. .WED...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .THU...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.