000 FZNT27 KNHC 042104 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 404 PM EST Mon Nov 4 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...Newly-upgraded Tropical Storm Rafael is near 15.5N 76.7W at 4 PM EST, and is moving north at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 997 mb. Rafael will move to 16.8N 77.6W Tue morning, strengthen to a hurricane near 18.5N 79.1W Tue afternoon, 20.2N 80.8W Wed morning, 22.1N 82.4W Wed afternoon, 23.6N 83.8W Thu morning, and 24.7N 85.0W Thu afternoon. Rafael will change little in intensity as it northward through the Gulf of Mexico Fri. Elsewhere, a broad high pressure ridge extends from the western Atlantic into the southeastern U.S. The pressure gradient between this ridge and troughs over Mexico and the northwest Caribbean are supporting fresh winds and moderate seas across most of the Gulf region. Northwest Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. .TUE...S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Chance of tstms. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Slight chance of showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .THU...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...N to NE winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...E to SE winds 40 to 50 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.