000 FZNT27 KNHC 050306 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1006 PM EST Mon Nov 4 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is near 16.3N 77.2W at 10 PM EST, and is moving north-northwest at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 996 mb. Rafael will move to 17.6N 78.3W Tue morning, 19.4N 79.9W Tue evening, strengthen to a hurricane near 21.4N 81.6W Wed morning, 23.3N 83.1W Wed evening, 24.6N 84.3W Thu morning, and 25.4N 85.3W Thu evening. Rafael will change little in intensity as it moves to near 26.6N 87.6W late Fri. Elsewhere, a broad high pressure ridge extends from the western Atlantic into the southeastern U.S. The pressure gradient between this ridge and troughs over Mexico and the northwest Caribbean are supporting fresh winds and moderate seas across most of the Gulf region, except for the NW Gulf where strong winds will prevail tonight. Northwest Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. .TUE...S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Chance of tstms. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Slight chance of showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .THU...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.