000 FZNT27 KNHC 061516 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1016 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...Moderate to fresh winds will prevail over the eastern half of the basin today ahead of Hurricane Rafael, currently in the northwestern Caribbean near 21.4N 81.9W at 10 AM EST, or about 150 nm south-southeast of Havana, Cuba moving northwest at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 95 kt with gusts to 115 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 960 mb. Rafael is forecast to move inland western Cuba this afternoon and into the southeastern Gulf tonight, then weaken slightly as it reaches near 23.9N 84.8W early Thu and to near 24.3N 86.4W early Thu evening. Rafael will then begin to gradually weaken as it reaches near 24.4N 88.0W early Fri with maximum sustained winds 85 kt gusts 105 kt, to near 24.6N 89.3W early Fri evening and to near 24.8N 90.7W Sat morning with maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Rafael is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm near 25.7N 92.1W by early Sun with maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Northwest Gulf of Mexico .TODAY...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .THU...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. .FRI NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico .TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.