000 FZNT27 KNHC 062123 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 423 PM EST Wed Nov 6 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...Moderate to fresh winds will prevail over the eastern half of the basin through early this evening ahead of Hurricane Rafael, currently in the northwestern Caribbean near 22.6N 82.7W at 4 PM EST and moving northwest at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 100 kt with gusts to 120 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 956 mb. Rafael will move inland western Cuba by early this evening and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight. Rafael will weaken as it reaches near 23.6N 83.9W late tonight with maximum sustained winds 90 kt gusts 110 kt, move to near 24.1N 85.6W early Thu afternoon, and continue to maintain intensity as it moves to near 24.2N 87.4W late Thu night, and begin to weaken as it reaches to near 24.2N 89.1W Fri afternoon with maximum sustained 85 kt gusts 105 kt, to near 24.3N 90.4W late Fri night with maximum sustained 75 kt gusts 90 kt and to near 24.5N 91.1W Sat afternoon with maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts 80 kt. Rafael is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm near 24.6N 92.0W Sun afternoon with maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Swell generated by Rafael is expected to spread over most of the basin from E to W late this week and into the weekend. Northwest Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .THU...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in SE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON...NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.