000 FZNT27 KNHC 080923 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 423 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Rafael is centered near 24.5N 88.0W at 08/0900 UTC or 210 nm NNE of Progreso Mexico, moving W at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 105 kt with gusts to 130 kt. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible today. By tonight, a steady weakening trend is forecast and should continue through the weekend. A general westward to west-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, Rafael is expected to move over the central Gulf of Mexico for the next few days. Rafael will move to 24.6N 89.3W this afternoon, 24.8N 90.6W Sat morning, 25.2N 91.6W Sat afternoon, weaken to a tropical storm near 25.5N 92.1W Sun morning, 26.0N 92.1W Sun afternoon, and 26.3N 91.4W Mon morning. Rafael will change little in intensity as it moves to 24.5N 91.5W early Tue. Northwest Gulf of Mexico ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Scattered showers. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 35 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 40 to 45 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN...SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.