000 FZNT27 KNHC 082136 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 436 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Rafael is centered near 24.6N 89.7W at 2100 UTC, or 200 nm N of Progreso Mexico, moving W at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt. A steady and gradual weakening trend will begin tonight through the weekend as Rafael moves in a slow west to west-northwestward motion, before weakening quickly and turning southward Mon night through Wed. On the current forecast track, Rafael is expected to reach near 24.9N 90.6W tonight, near 25.2N 91.5W midday Sat as a tropical storm, near 25.6N 92.0W midday Sun, and near 23.8N 92.3W midday Mon as a 30 kt remnant low. Moderate NE to E winds will build across the basin Wed. Northwest Gulf of Mexico ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 35 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 35 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE winds 35 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N to NE winds 30 to 35 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.