000 FZNT27 KNHC 090321 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1021 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is centered near 24.8N 89.9W at 09/0300 UTC or 210 nm N of Progreso Mexico, moving WNW at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Additional steady to rapid weakening is expected during the next few days. A slow west-northwestward motion is expected through Saturday. After that, Rafael is likely to move slowly south-southwestward toward the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through early next week. Rafael will move to 25.0N 90.7W Sat morning, 25.3N 91.5W Sat evening, 25.6N 91.8W Sun morning, 25.1N 91.8W Sun evening, weaken to a tropical depression near 24.4N 91.9W Mon morning, and become a remnant low and move to 23.4N 92.2W Mon evening. Rafael will change little in intensity as it moves to 22.0N 92.7W late Tue. Looking ahead, moderate to locally fresh NE winds will build across the basin Wed. Northwest Gulf of Mexico ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming NE 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico .TONIGHT...E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.