000 FZPN27 KNHC 010939 OFFPZ7 Offshore Waters Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. PMZ001-012130- Synopsis for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Carlotta is near 17.0N 109.9W at 2 AM PDT, and is moving west-northwest at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 997 mb. Carlotta will strengthen to a hurricane near 17.6N 111.5W this afternoon with maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts 80 kt, and continue to intensify as it moves to near 17.9N 113.7W late tonight, to near 18.1N 115.8W Fri afternoon with maximum sustained winds 80 kt gusts 100 kt, to near 18.2N 118.0W late Fri night, to near 18.3N 120.0W Sat afternoon with maximum sustained winds 90 kt gusts 110 kt, then begin to gradually weaken as it reaches near 18.5N 121.4W late Sat night. Carlotta is forecast to continue to weaken as it reaches near 19.0N 124.0W late Sun night and to near 19.5N 126.5W by late Mon night. Fresh north to northeast gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue through Fri night before diminishing to moderate speeds Sat afternoon. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is expected to form south of Central America and Southern Mexico during the next couple of days, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves westward to west- northwestward while it remains well offshore of the coast of Mexico. $$ PMZ009-012130- Mexico Border S to 30N within 60 nm of shore- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 17 seconds. .FRI...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 16 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 11 seconds. $$ PMZ011-012130- 30N to Punta Eugenia within 250 nm of shore- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. .FRI...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 11 seconds. .SUN...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 12 seconds. .MON...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ013-012130- Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro within 250 nm offshore- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. .FRI...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SE to S swell. Period 14 seconds. .SAT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 11 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 10 seconds. .SUN...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 9 seconds. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. Period 9 seconds. $$ PMZ014-012130- Cabo San Lazaro to Cabo San Lucas within 350 nm offshore N of 20N- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SE swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly S part. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft N of 22N, and 8 to 9 ft in SE swell S of 22N. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N of 22N, N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. S of 22N, E winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Period 13 seconds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Period 11 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 15 seconds. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Period 9 seconds. .MON...NW winds 10 kt, shifting to SE to S in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 9 seconds. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 9 seconds. $$ PMZ016-012130- From 17N to 20N Between 110W and 115W including the Revillagigedo Islands- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. E of 113W, NE to E winds 55 to 60 kt, becoming E 55 to 65 kt in the afternoon. W of 113W, N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 to 16 ft E of 113W, and 5 to 7 ft W of 113W. Period 15 seconds. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E of 113W, SE winds 60 to 70 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt late, Seas 14 to 17 ft. W of 113W, NE winds 60 to 70 kt, Seas 10 to 13 ft, building 24 to to 28 ft late. Period 13 seconds. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E of 113W, SE winds 15 to 20 kt, Seas 11 ft, subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. W of 113W, E to SE winds 65 to 75 kt, becoming SE to S 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon, Seas 19 to 24 ft. Period 11 seconds. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms W of 113W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms E of 113W. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E of 113W, SE winds 10 to 15 kt, Seas 6 to 7 ft. W of 113W, SE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SE to S 15 to 20 kt late, Seas 10 to 14 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft in S swell late. Period 13 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SAT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft E of 113W, and 8 to 9 ft in SW to W swell W of 113W. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...E of 113W, SE to S winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW swell. Period 8 seconds. .SUN...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW swell. Period 8 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW to W swell. Period 9 seconds. .MON...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W swell. Period 9 seconds. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W swell. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ017-012130- Northern Gulf of California- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. .FRI...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 8 seconds. .SAT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 3 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 4 seconds. .SUN...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 4 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 4 seconds. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 4 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 3 seconds. $$ PMZ019-012130- Central Gulf of California- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 14 seconds. .FRI...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less, building to 2 to 4 ft late. Period 9 seconds. .SAT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SE swell. Period 6 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 6 seconds. .SUN...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 6 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 6 seconds. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 6 seconds. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ021-012130- Southern Gulf of California- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 16 seconds. .TONIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 15 seconds. .FRI...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SW to W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. .SAT...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. .MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 11 seconds. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ022-012130- N of 20N E of 110W to the Entrance of the Gulf of California- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S swell. Period 18 seconds. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S swell. Period 18 seconds. .FRI...NE to E winds 10 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SUN...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. .MON...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 11 seconds. $$ PMZ024-012130- Colima and Jalisco within 300 nm offshore S of 20N and E of 110W- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 18N W OF 109W... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE S OF 18N W OF 109W. SE winds 20 to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft S of 18N W of 109W, subsiding to 8 to 10 ft in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft elsewhere. Period 18 seconds. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms S of 18N W of 109W shifting W during the day. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere. .TONIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S swell. Period 17 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .FRI...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 17 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SAT...E to SE winds 10 kt, shifting to SW in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SUN...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW swell. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW to W swell. Period 9 seconds. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft in SW swell. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ025-012130- Michoacan and Guerrero within 250 nm offshore- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day. .TONIGHT...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 14 seconds. .FRI...SE winds 10 kt, shifting to SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SAT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 12 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 12 seconds. .SUN...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 8 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in S swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SE to S swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 13 to 20 ft in SE to S swell. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ026-012130- Oaxaca W of Puerto Angel within 250 nm offshore- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 15 seconds. .TONIGHT...N of 14N, NW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable winds less than 5 kt. S of 14N, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming E 10 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 15 seconds. .FRI...Variable winds less than 5 kt N of 14N, and NE to E 10 kt S of 14N. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SAT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S swell. Period 12 seconds. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE to S swell. Period 8 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in S swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in S to SW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S to SW swell. Period 10 seconds. $$ PMZ028-012130- Oaxaca E of Puerto Angel within 300 nm offshore including the Gulf of Tehuantepec- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt N of 14N, and NE to E 10 kt S of 14N. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SE swell. Period 15 seconds. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt N of 14N, and E 10 kt S of 14N. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell. Period 17 seconds. .FRI...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SE swell. Period 17 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...N of 15N, N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. S of 15N, E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE to S swell. Period 16 seconds. .SAT...N of 15N, NE winds 15 to 20 kt diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft. S of 15N, E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S swell. Period 13 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in S to SW swell. Period 12 seconds. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in S to SW swell. Period 11 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in S to SW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW swell. Period 12 seconds. $$ PMZ029-012130- Offshore Chiapas E of 94W- 239 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 .TODAY...E of 93W, variable winds less than 5 kt in the morning. Variable winds less than 5 kt in the afternoon. W of 93W, NE winds 10 kt in the morning. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 15 seconds. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .FRI...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S swell. Period 17 seconds. .SAT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 13 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 11 seconds. .MON...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt E of 93W, and E 10 kt W of 93W. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds. $$ Forecaster Aguirre