000 AXNT20 KNHC 260548 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0605 UTC Mon Aug 26 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0530 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has been added with the 26/0000 UTC map analysis, along 22W, from 20N southward, moving westward 10 knots to 15 knots. Precipitation: any nearby convective precipitation also is close to the monsoon trough. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 46W/47W, from 20N southward, moving westward 5 knots to 10 knots. Precipitation: any nearby convective precipitation also is close to the monsoon trough. A tropical wave is moving through the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico, along 92W/93W, from 20N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate is from 22N southward from 90W westward. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is in the NW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. The tropical wave is moving through the southern part of the larger-scale cyclonic wind flow that is moving around the cyclonic circulation center. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal borders of Senegal and Mauritania, to 13N20W, to 09N30W 08N40W 08N52W. Precipitation: scattered moderate to widely scattered strong is within 270 nm to the south of the monsoon trough, and from 08N to 11N between 52W and 54W. Isolated moderate to locally strong is within 120 nm to the north of the monsoon trough from 30W eastward. ...GULF OF MEXICO... An upper level cyclonic circulation center is in the NW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. A surface trough is along 94W/95W from 24N to the coast of Texas. Upper level cyclonic wind flow, and isolated moderate convective precipitation, are from 88W westward. A surface trough is between 80W and Lake Okeechobee in Florida, from the Florida Keys to 31N. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 85W eastward in the Gulf of Mexico, including in the southern half of Florida. Moderate or slower winds, and slight seas, are everywhere. An upper-level disturbance will support scattered moderate to locally strong convection across the northern and eastern Gulf through Mon. Gusty winds and locally rough seas will be possible near convection. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient will maintain gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas through this week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow, and isolated moderate to locally strong convective precipitation, span the entire area. Other precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is from 15N to 17N between 86W and 90W. The areas that are covered are: the coastal plains/the coastal waters of Belize and Honduras, and inland areas of Belize and Guatemala. Fresh NE winds are in the coastal waters of Belize and Honduras from 18N southward from 85W westward. Fresh NE winds are from 13N to Hispaniola between 70W and 74W. Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder of the Caribbean Sea. Slight to moderate seas are in the central one-third of the area. Slight seas are in the remainder of the Caribbean Sea. The monsoon trough is along 08N/10N from 72W in NW Venezuela, through Colombia, beyond Panama, into the Pacific Ocean. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong in clusters is from 14N southward from 70W westward. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds will pulse off the coast of Hispaniola through much of this week. Locally fresh E to NE winds will be possible off the coast of Venezuela and Colombia by Wed. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A surface trough is between 80W and Lake Okeechobee in Florida, from the Florida Keys to 31N. A frontal boundary is from 31N northward from 70W westward. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is to the north of the line that is from the Straits of Florida beyond 31N62W. The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 26/0000 UTC, are: 0.13 in Bermuda. This information is from the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN. Upper level cyclonic wind flow, and isolated moderate to locally strong convective precipitation, are from 20N northward from 46W westward, and from 10N to 20N between 50W and 60W. One surface trough is from 21N to 31N between 50W and 54W. Fresh cyclonic winds are from 23N to 26N between 51W and 55W. A second surface trough is is from 23N to 31N between 61W and 65W. Rough seas have been from 16N to 21N from 22W eastward during the last six hours or so. Slight seas have been from 27N northward between 50W and 60W, and from 70W westward. Moderate to rough seas are to the south of the line that is from 09N16W to 06N20W. Moderate seas are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. Fresh and moderate NE winds are from 13N northward from 42W eastward. Fresh southerly winds are from 10N21W 07N40W southward. Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. An upper-level disturbance will support scattered moderate to locally strong convection over the Bahamas and off the coast of Florida through Mon. Gusty winds and locally rough seas will be possible near convection. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh E to NE winds and moderate seas will continue through this week. $$ mt/al