000
AXNT20 KNHC 260855
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Mon Aug 26 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0855 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of an Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is near 22W, from 20N
southward, moving westward 10 knots to 15 knots. Nearby convection
is discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

The axis of an Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is near 48W, from 20N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 knots. Nearby convection
is discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 16N16W to
09N29W to 08N52W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 22W and 51W. 

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient over the Gulf of Mexico is supporting
gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 1-3 ft. 

For the forecast, an upper-level disturbance will support scattered
moderate to locally strong convection across the northern and
eastern Gulf today. Gusty winds and locally rough seas will be 
possible near convection. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient will
maintain gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas through
this week.  

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft, are over the
central and eastern Caribbean. Mainly gentle winds, and seas of 
2-3 ft prevail over the western Caribbean. 

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds will pulse
off the coast of Hispaniola through much of this week. Locally
fresh E to NE winds will be possible off the coast of Venezuela
and Colombia by Wed. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
moderate seas will prevail. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from 31N52W to 19N56W. Scattered moderate
convection is near the trough axis. High pressure prevails
elsewhere over the tropical and subtropical waters N of 20N.
Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft are found N of 20N
and W of 40W. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, prevail
N of 20N and E of 40W. S of 20N, gentle to moderate winds, and
seas of 4-7 ft, prevail.

For the forecast W of 55W, an upper- level disturbance will 
support scattered moderate to locally strong convection over the 
Bahamas and off the coast of Florida today. Gusty winds and 
locally rough seas will be possible near convection. Otherwise, 
moderate to locally fresh E to NE winds and moderate seas will 
continue through this week. 

$$
AL