696 
AXNT20 KNHC 280831
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Wed Aug 28 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 33W from 07N to 20N, moving 
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
monsoon trough/ITCZ section below. 

The axis of a tropical wave is near 61W, from 20N southward,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong 
convection is in the vicinity of the wave axis. 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean through the coast 
of Mauritania near 21N17W and continues SW to near 13N26W to
12N43W. The ITCZ continues from 12N43W to 12N56W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 12W and 23W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
07N to 13N between 30W and 42W, and from 08N to 11N between 42W
and 56W. 

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A loose pressure gradient is supporting gentle winds across much
of the Gulf of Mexico, except reaching moderate speeds over the SE
Gulf. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range. 

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will maintain gentle 
winds and slight seas through the remainder of the week and 
upcoming weekend. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 3-4 ft, prevail over the
central Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 2-3 ft, 
are over the eastern Caribbean. Gentle winds, and seas of 1-3 ft, 
are noted in the western Caribbean. 

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds will 
pulse off the coast of Hispaniola into the weekend. Locally fresh 
E to NE winds will pulse nightly off the coast of Venezuela and 
Colombia. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from 30N59W to 24N62W, with a 1018 mb low
pressure along the trough axis near 27N61W. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted within 90 nm N of the low
center. A second surface trough extends from 31N68W to 26N73W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted along the trough axis.
Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail over the
waters N of 20N and W of 55W. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and
seas of 5-7 ft, prevail over the waters N of 20N and E of 55W. S
of 20N, gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, prevail.  

For the forecast W of 55W, gentle to moderate E to NE winds and 
moderate seas will prevail into the weekend. Winds will pulse to 
locally fresh each night offshore Hispaniola. 

$$
AL