000
AXNT20 KNHC 290830
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Thu Aug 29 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W from 07N to 20N, moving 
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the 
monsoon trough/ITCZ section below. 

The axis of a tropical wave is near 66W, S of 20N, moving 
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are near the wave 
axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of
Africa near 15N18W to 13N52W. The ITCZ continues from 12N52W to
13N60W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is from
05N to 13N from 26W eastward to western Africa. This activity is
ahead of the next tropical wave nearing the west coast of Africa.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is from 05N to
14N between 32W and 60W. 

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient prevails over the Gulf of Mexico
supporting gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 1-3 ft. 

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will maintain gentle 
winds and slight seas through the remainder of the week and 
upcoming weekend. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail over the south
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 4-5 ft,
are over the north central Caribbean. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds, and seas of 2-3 ft, prevail.  

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds will 
pulse off the coast of Hispaniola into the weekend. Locally fresh 
E to NE winds will pulse nightly off the coast of Venezuela and 
Colombia through Fri. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1019 mb low pressure area is centered near 29N60W. There is
limited shower activity in the vicinity of this low. High pressure
prevails over the remainder of the tropical and subtropical waters
N of 20N. Winds over these waters are in the gentle to moderate
range, with seas of 3-6 ft. S of 20N, gentle to locally moderate
winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail. 

For the forecast W of 55W, gentle to moderate E to NE winds and 
moderate seas will prevail into the weekend. Winds will pulse to 
locally fresh each night offshore Hispaniola.

$$
AL