000 ABNT20 KNHC 231548 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1150 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93): Updated: Data from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the area of low pressure centered about 40 miles southeast of La Pesca, Mexico does not have a well-defined center of circulation. Some slight development of this system is still possible, and a short-lived tropical depression could form before it reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico by this evening. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely to cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and Deep South Texas through tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Pasch