000
ABNT20 KNHC 271310
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A tropical wave over the western Caribbean Sea is producing 
widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity while 
it moves westward at around 20 mph.  Some development of 
this system is possible over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or 
over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive, and development of this system is anticipated.  A 
tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form this weekend 
several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands while the system 
moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch