000
ABNT20 KNHC 211748
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Strong upper-level winds continue to keep showers displaced well 
to the east of an area of low pressure (the remnants of Gordon) 
located over one thousand miles southwest of the Azores.  
Development of this system is not expected while it moves slowly 
northwestward over the central subtropical Atlantic during the next 
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located about 700 miles southeast of 
Bermuda continues to produce a small cluster of showers and 
thunderstorms northeast of its center.  However, the low is 
embedded in a very dry environment, and therefore significant 
development is not expected while it moves generally northward at 5 
to 10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to form by the early to 
middle part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and 
the adjacent portions of Central America.  Thereafter, gradual 
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression 
could form as the system moves slowly northward across the 
northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through the end of 
next week.  Regardless of development, this system is expected to 
produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next 
several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of 
Africa on Sunday or Monday.  Gradual development of this system is 
possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form next week 
while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg