000
ABNT20 KNHC 031734
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on 
Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic 
Ocean.

Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Gulf of 
Mexico are associated with a surface trough.  A broad area of low 
pressure is likely to develop over the Gulf of Mexico this weekend 
or early next week, but subsequent tropical or subtropical 
development could be limited by the system's potential interaction 
with a frontal boundary.  Regardless of development, locally heavy 
rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next few days 
and over portions of the Florida Peninsula from late this weekend 
into next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven