000
ABNT20 KNHC 152322
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic 
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is 
forecast to move generally westward to west-northwestward, and 
environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual 
development by the middle to latter part of this week. A tropical 
depression could form as the system approaches or moves near the 
Leeward Islands late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms in the southwestern Caribbean Sea are 
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual 
development is possible if the system stays over water while it 
moves slowly northwestward towards Central America. Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of 
Central America later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven