000
ABNT20 KNHC 030534
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical 
Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the 
Azores Islands.

Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with 
a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. 
Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while 
moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and 
western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy 
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the 
western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. 
Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress 
of this system. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled 
to investigate this system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Near the Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure just north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico 
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along 
with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the southwestern 
Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible during the day 
or two while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. By early 
this week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low 
pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97). Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple 
of days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, 
Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO 
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO 
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart