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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP92): 
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  While 
a short-lived tropical depression could still form during the next 
day or so, the window for further development is closing with 
stronger upper-level winds and cooler waters anticipated by late 
Thursday.  The system is forecast to move west-northwestward at 
about 10 mph across the western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is likely to form this weekend a few hundred 
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some slow development 
of this system is possible early next week while it moves westward 
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch