000 WTNT80 EGRR 150620 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.07.2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 116.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.07.2007 15.5N 116.8W WEAK 12UTC 15.07.2007 15.6N 119.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.07.2007 16.7N 121.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.07.2007 17.4N 124.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.07.2007 18.2N 126.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.07.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ANALYSED POSITION : 10.6N 127.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.07.2007 10.6N 127.5W MODERATE 12UTC 15.07.2007 11.1N 127.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.07.2007 12.5N 128.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2007 13.4N 128.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.07.2007 13.8N 128.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.07.2007 15.5N 128.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.07.2007 11.0N 134.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2007 9.9N 135.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2007 8.8N 143.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2007 8.5N 146.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2007 7.5N 151.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.07.2007 7.4N 152.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.07.2007 7.4N 155.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 150620 000 WHXX01 KMIA 150643 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0643 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX (EP062007) 20070715 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070715 0600 070715 1800 070716 0600 070716 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 11.4N 127.4W 11.8N 128.9W 12.4N 130.2W 13.2N 131.4W BAMD 11.4N 127.4W 12.0N 129.0W 12.7N 130.7W 13.2N 132.3W BAMM 11.4N 127.4W 11.8N 128.9W 12.4N 130.2W 13.0N 131.3W LBAR 11.4N 127.4W 11.9N 128.8W 12.6N 130.4W 13.1N 132.5W SHIP 25KTS 34KTS 47KTS 52KTS DSHP 25KTS 34KTS 47KTS 52KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070717 0600 070718 0600 070719 0600 070720 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.0N 132.5W 15.7N 135.1W 18.4N 138.8W 20.6N 142.3W BAMD 13.4N 133.7W 13.5N 136.8W 15.1N 140.6W 17.5N 144.1W BAMM 13.6N 132.2W 15.1N 134.8W 17.7N 138.8W 20.3N 142.6W LBAR 13.2N 134.5W 12.9N 139.5W 12.9N 144.4W 15.1N 148.2W SHIP 57KTS 47KTS 39KTS 35KTS DSHP 57KTS 47KTS 39KTS 35KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 11.4N LONCUR = 127.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 11.2N LONM12 = 126.5W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 11.2N LONM24 = 125.0W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KMIA 150653 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0653 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE (EP052007) 20070715 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070715 0600 070715 1800 070716 0600 070716 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.1N 118.0W 17.1N 120.5W 18.2N 123.2W 19.3N 126.0W BAMD 16.1N 118.0W 16.6N 120.2W 17.2N 122.6W 18.2N 125.1W BAMM 16.1N 118.0W 17.0N 120.6W 18.1N 123.3W 19.2N 126.1W LBAR 16.1N 118.0W 16.7N 120.3W 17.5N 122.9W 18.2N 125.7W SHIP 25KTS 26KTS 27KTS 27KTS DSHP 25KTS 26KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070717 0600 070718 0600 070719 0600 070720 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.1N 128.6W 22.0N 133.7W 24.4N 137.7W 25.5N 140.8W BAMD 19.2N 127.6W 21.1N 132.4W 23.6N 135.6W 25.2N 135.1W BAMM 20.2N 128.8W 22.0N 134.1W 24.1N 137.9W 25.2N 140.1W LBAR 18.9N 128.4W 21.1N 133.4W 24.9N 135.2W 27.7N 132.2W SHIP 24KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 24KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.1N LONCUR = 118.0W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 15.7N LONM12 = 115.4W DIRM12 = 280DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 14.8N LONM24 = 113.1W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN