000 WTNT80 EGRR 311710 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.07.2007 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ANALYSED POSITION : 39.5N 64.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.07.2007 39.5N 64.5W WEAK 00UTC 01.08.2007 43.8N 60.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2007 46.5N 53.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 02.08.2007 EXTRA-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.2N 121.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.07.2007 12.2N 121.3W WEAK 00UTC 01.08.2007 13.8N 122.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.08.2007 14.6N 123.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.08.2007 12.6N 126.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2007 13.0N 129.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.08.2007 12.2N 133.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.08.2007 12.1N 134.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2007 13.0N 135.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2007 13.4N 136.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.08.2007 13.6N 137.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2007 13.6N 138.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2007 13.2N 138.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2007 12.2N 138.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311710 000 WHXX04 KWBC 311725 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 99L INITIAL TIME 12Z JUL 31 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 11.2 50.8 285./12.0 6 11.5 52.0 284./12.1 12 12.1 53.6 289./16.6 18 12.3 55.7 276./20.7 24 12.7 57.6 282./19.3 30 12.9 59.7 276./20.0 36 12.9 61.9 270./21.8 42 13.0 63.8 272./18.6 48 13.1 66.0 273./21.0 54 13.7 67.9 286./19.4 60 13.3 70.6 262./26.9 66 13.3 72.9 270./22.5 72 13.0 74.8 263./18.7 78 13.2 76.3 277./14.2 84 13.1 78.1 266./17.8 90 13.5 79.9 283./17.9 96 13.4 81.2 267./12.9 102 13.7 82.7 280./14.4 108 13.8 84.0 273./13.0 114 13.9 85.6 276./15.3 120 13.3 87.4 250./18.7 126 13.2 88.6 268./11.2 000 WHXX04 KWBC 311721 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 99E INITIAL TIME 12Z JUL 31 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 12.7 121.9 285./ 8.9 STORM DISSIPATED AT 0 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.