000 WHXX01 KMIA 011248 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1248 UTC WED AUG 1 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK (EP082007) 20070801 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070801 1200 070802 0000 070802 1200 070803 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.2N 125.4W 13.5N 127.5W 13.9N 129.5W 14.2N 131.2W BAMD 13.2N 125.4W 13.5N 127.4W 13.6N 129.5W 14.0N 131.6W BAMM 13.2N 125.4W 13.5N 127.5W 13.7N 129.6W 13.9N 131.5W LBAR 13.2N 125.4W 13.3N 127.4W 13.8N 129.7W 14.6N 132.3W SHIP 35KTS 34KTS 36KTS 37KTS DSHP 35KTS 34KTS 36KTS 37KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070803 1200 070804 1200 070805 1200 070806 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.3N 133.2W 14.9N 137.2W 15.0N 140.9W 15.3N 144.9W BAMD 14.3N 133.6W 15.3N 137.7W 16.1N 141.7W 16.8N 145.0W BAMM 14.1N 133.6W 15.0N 137.9W 15.8N 142.3W 16.3N 146.7W LBAR 15.4N 134.9W 17.3N 139.9W 18.2N 144.7W 18.6N 148.0W SHIP 42KTS 48KTS 47KTS 47KTS DSHP 42KTS 48KTS 47KTS 47KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.2N LONCUR = 125.4W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 13.0N LONM12 = 124.2W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 12.9N LONM24 = 122.5W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 40NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 011254 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1254 UTC WED AUG 1 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992007) 20070801 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070801 1200 070802 0000 070802 1200 070803 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 11.8N 56.4W 12.9N 60.6W 14.2N 65.3W 15.6N 70.3W BAMD 11.8N 56.4W 12.5N 59.3W 13.1N 62.3W 13.5N 65.2W BAMM 11.8N 56.4W 12.7N 59.7W 13.4N 63.3W 14.1N 66.9W LBAR 11.8N 56.4W 12.5N 59.6W 13.1N 63.1W 13.7N 66.6W SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 36KTS 45KTS DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 36KTS 45KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070803 1200 070804 1200 070805 1200 070806 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.0N 75.6W 19.5N 85.0W 21.5N 91.8W 23.3N 95.9W BAMD 13.8N 68.2W 14.2N 74.2W 14.3N 80.1W 14.5N 85.4W BAMM 14.7N 70.8W 15.8N 78.8W 16.2N 86.3W 16.1N 92.3W LBAR 14.2N 70.2W 15.2N 77.0W 16.6N 83.0W .0N .0W SHIP 51KTS 64KTS 76KTS 82KTS DSHP 51KTS 64KTS 76KTS 69KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 11.8N LONCUR = 56.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 15KT LATM12 = 11.3N LONM12 = 53.3W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 11.0N LONM24 = 50.5W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN