000
WTNT80 EGRR 151715

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.08.2007

        TROPICAL STORM DEAN       ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N  44.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.08.2007  12.6N  44.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.08.2007  12.9N  48.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2007  13.3N  52.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2007  14.0N  56.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2007  14.9N  60.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2007  15.6N  63.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2007  16.4N  67.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2007  16.4N  71.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2007  16.7N  75.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2007  18.2N  80.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 20.08.2007  19.0N  84.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2007  20.1N  88.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2007  21.6N  92.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM ERIN       ANALYSED POSITION : 25.3N  93.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.08.2007  25.3N  93.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.08.2007  25.0N  94.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2007  27.6N  96.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.08.2007  27.7N  98.8W   MODERATE     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2007  29.2N 100.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2007      BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE    ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 157.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.08.2007  17.0N 157.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 16.08.2007  16.7N 159.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2007  17.2N 161.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2007  19.5N 163.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2007  20.1N 166.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2007       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151715