000 WHXX01 KWBC 151824 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1824 UTC WED AUG 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN (AL052007) 20070815 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070815 1800 070816 0600 070816 1800 070817 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 26.0N 93.8W 26.8N 95.6W 27.9N 97.4W 28.9N 99.2W BAMD 26.0N 93.8W 27.0N 95.6W 28.0N 97.4W 28.9N 98.9W BAMM 26.0N 93.8W 27.0N 95.7W 27.9N 97.7W 28.8N 99.4W LBAR 26.0N 93.8W 27.3N 95.7W 28.6N 97.6W 29.9N 99.1W SHIP 35KTS 45KTS 55KTS 62KTS DSHP 35KTS 45KTS 44KTS 32KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070817 1800 070818 1800 070819 1800 070820 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 29.9N 100.7W 31.9N 102.3W 33.0N 102.0W 33.7N 102.0W BAMD 29.8N 100.1W 31.6N 99.9W 31.8N 98.1W 29.3N 99.4W BAMM 29.7N 100.9W 31.2N 101.6W 31.1N 100.8W 29.1N 102.5W LBAR 30.8N 100.3W 32.3N 102.0W 34.1N 102.4W 36.1N 100.6W SHIP 68KTS 74KTS 65KTS 55KTS DSHP 29KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 26.0N LONCUR = 93.8W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 24.6N LONM12 = 91.8W DIRM12 = 310DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 23.2N LONM24 = 90.0W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN