000
WTNT80 EGRR 221752

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.08.2007

             HURRICANE DEAN       ANALYSED POSITION : 20.3N  95.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.08.2007  20.3N  95.2W   INTENSE
 00UTC 23.08.2007  20.9N  98.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.08.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.1N  93.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 25.08.2007  14.1N  93.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 25.08.2007  13.7N  95.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2007  14.8N  95.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2007  15.1N  95.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2007  13.8N 103.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2007  17.1N 104.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.08.2007  17.5N 105.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.08.2007  17.7N 106.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

        

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221752