000
WHXX01 KWBC 281238
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1238 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122007) 20070928 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        070928  1200   070929  0000   070929  1200   070930  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.6N  49.0W   15.7N  51.7W   16.6N  54.4W   17.2N  56.2W
BAMD    14.6N  49.0W   16.1N  49.9W   17.4N  50.3W   18.7N  50.4W
BAMM    14.6N  49.0W   15.5N  50.9W   16.2N  52.4W   16.9N  53.5W
LBAR    14.6N  49.0W   15.8N  50.3W   16.9N  51.7W   17.8N  52.9W
SHIP        35KTS          28KTS          24KTS          22KTS
DSHP        35KTS          28KTS          24KTS          22KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        070930  1200   071001  1200   071002  1200   071003  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.0N  57.9W   19.7N  60.2W   21.5N  62.8W   22.8N  65.7W
BAMD    20.2N  50.7W   22.8N  52.0W   24.1N  54.0W   22.8N  56.9W
BAMM    17.6N  54.7W   19.0N  56.9W   19.8N  59.1W   19.5N  62.0W
LBAR    18.7N  54.0W   20.7N  55.3W   22.3N  56.8W   22.0N  58.8W
SHIP        18KTS          20KTS          25KTS          30KTS
DSHP        18KTS          20KTS          25KTS          30KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.6N LONCUR =  49.0W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  14.1N LONM12 =  48.8W DIRM12 = 262DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  13.5N LONM24 =  46.8W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =  120NM RD34SE =  110NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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