000
WHXX01 KWBC 150805
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0805 UTC MON OCT 15 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992007) 20071015 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        071015  0600   071015  1800   071016  0600   071016  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.3N  88.7W   20.4N  90.9W   21.5N  93.0W   22.4N  94.7W
BAMD    19.3N  88.7W   20.1N  90.7W   21.1N  92.3W   22.0N  93.3W
BAMM    19.3N  88.7W   20.3N  91.0W   21.4N  93.0W   22.3N  94.4W
LBAR    19.3N  88.7W   20.1N  90.6W   21.5N  92.3W   23.4N  93.5W
SHIP        20KTS          22KTS          26KTS          32KTS
DSHP        20KTS          27KTS          31KTS          37KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        071017  0600   071018  0600   071019  0600   071020  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.2N  96.0W   25.8N  97.4W   27.6N  95.6W   28.2N  95.2W
BAMD    23.2N  94.0W   27.8N  90.9W   32.7N  78.9W   34.3N  65.3W
BAMM    23.4N  95.7W   27.7N  94.1W   33.2N  81.6W   37.7N  66.1W
LBAR    25.4N  93.8W   31.1N  89.5W   37.7N  76.8W   36.5N  60.0W
SHIP        36KTS          41KTS          42KTS          39KTS
DSHP        41KTS          46KTS          31KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.3N LONCUR =  88.7W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  18.5N LONM12 =  87.0W DIRM12 = 295DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  17.9N LONM24 =  85.9W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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