000 WHXX01 KMIA 151844 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1844 UTC MON OCT 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN (EP152007) 20071015 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071015 1800 071016 0600 071016 1800 071017 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.1N 108.7W 15.5N 108.8W 15.6N 109.3W 15.7N 109.7W BAMD 15.1N 108.7W 15.2N 109.5W 15.3N 110.8W 15.2N 112.2W BAMM 15.1N 108.7W 15.3N 109.1W 15.5N 109.8W 15.6N 110.5W LBAR 15.1N 108.7W 15.0N 108.9W 15.1N 109.7W 15.4N 110.8W SHIP 30KTS 30KTS 32KTS 35KTS DSHP 30KTS 30KTS 32KTS 35KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071017 1800 071018 1800 071019 1800 071020 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.9N 110.5W 16.1N 112.1W 15.9N 113.4W 15.8N 114.7W BAMD 14.8N 113.9W 14.5N 117.2W 14.6N 119.9W 14.7N 122.3W BAMM 15.5N 111.4W 15.7N 113.7W 15.9N 115.5W 16.1N 117.7W LBAR 15.7N 112.1W 16.4N 115.3W 17.8N 119.2W 18.9N 122.9W SHIP 37KTS 40KTS 47KTS 47KTS DSHP 37KTS 40KTS 47KTS 47KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 15.1N LONCUR = 108.7W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 0KT LATM12 = 15.1N LONM12 = 108.7W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 1KT LATM24 = 14.8N LONM24 = 108.5W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN