000 WHXX01 KWBC 300701 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0701 UTC TUE OCT 30 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE NOEL (AL162007) 20071030 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071030 0600 071030 1800 071031 0600 071031 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.2N 75.6W 21.8N 78.1W 21.8N 80.0W 21.7N 81.1W BAMD 21.2N 75.6W 21.9N 77.0W 22.5N 78.3W 23.1N 78.9W BAMM 21.2N 75.6W 21.7N 77.5W 22.0N 79.0W 22.2N 79.7W LBAR 21.2N 75.6W 22.0N 77.0W 23.2N 78.3W 24.1N 79.2W SHIP 50KTS 55KTS 60KTS 62KTS DSHP 50KTS 55KTS 60KTS 62KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071101 0600 071102 0600 071103 0600 071104 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.9N 81.4W 18.9N 81.8W 16.9N 84.5W 15.1N 88.9W BAMD 24.1N 78.6W 28.6N 72.2W 37.1N 58.9W 46.0N 50.4W BAMM 22.2N 79.6W 23.6N 75.9W 25.9N 71.6W 27.8N 62.9W LBAR 25.7N 79.4W 28.1N 76.2W 33.6N 70.0W 34.0N 60.7W SHIP 64KTS 67KTS 55KTS 33KTS DSHP 64KTS 67KTS 55KTS 33KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.2N LONCUR = 75.6W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 20.2N LONM12 = 73.6W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 17.8N LONM24 = 72.3W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 999MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 100NM $$ NNNN