000 WTNT80 EGRR 161758 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.07.2008 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 36.6N 60.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.07.2008 36.6N 60.4W MODERATE 00UTC 17.07.2008 36.2N 59.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.07.2008 35.8N 59.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.07.2008 34.6N 59.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2008 34.2N 57.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 19.07.2008 35.1N 54.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.07.2008 37.3N 51.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.07.2008 39.9N 47.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 20.07.2008 EXTRA-TROPICAL HURRICANE ELIDA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 116.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.07.2008 16.4N 116.1W STRONG 00UTC 17.07.2008 17.0N 119.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.07.2008 17.4N 121.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.07.2008 17.9N 124.8W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 18.07.2008 18.1N 127.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.07.2008 17.8N 130.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.07.2008 17.8N 132.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 95.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.07.2008 11.1N 95.9W WEAK 00UTC 17.07.2008 12.5N 98.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2008 12.3N 102.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.07.2008 13.3N 104.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2008 13.8N 106.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2008 14.7N 107.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.07.2008 15.3N 109.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 15.6N 110.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.07.2008 16.3N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.07.2008 17.2N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.07.2008 17.8N 116.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.07.2008 18.3N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.07.2008 18.9N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.9N 56.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.07.2008 13.9N 56.0W WEAK 00UTC 17.07.2008 13.3N 59.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.07.2008 13.6N 62.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2008 14.8N 65.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2008 19.3N 71.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 9.1N 85.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.07.2008 9.1N 85.3W WEAK 00UTC 19.07.2008 9.9N 86.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2008 10.2N 88.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 11.3N 90.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.07.2008 15.6N 94.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.07.2008 20.1N 97.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.07.2008 25.9N 99.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.07.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 161758