000
WTNT80 EGRR 241720

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.08.2008

       TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY     ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N 89.0W

    ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062008  
  
  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.08.2008  32.0N  89.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.08.2008  31.5N  90.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2008  31.0N  90.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2008  32.0N  89.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2008         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
        
       TROPICAL STORM JULIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 20.8N 109.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.08.2008  20.8N 109.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.08.2008  24.2N 109.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2008  24.6N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2008  27.1N 111.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 26.08.2008  27.7N 112.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2008  28.2N 112.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.08.2008  28.1N 112.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.08.2008  28.3N 112.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 :  16.0N  71.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.08.2008  16.0N  71.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.08.2008  16.0N  72.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.08.2008  16.5N  72.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2008  16.0N  72.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2008  17.0N  73.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2008  16.5N  78.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.08.2008  15.8N  80.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2008  15.3N  80.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2008  15.7N  82.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE



 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 241720